The Top Five reasons why Southampton F.C. will be in the Premier League next season

19 02 2012

The Saints are now unbeaten in five, conceding just two during that spell and keeping three clean sheets: the most recent came against Nigel Clough’s Derby County side in an emphatic 4-0 win in which January signing Tadanari Lee scored his first goal for the club, with a thunderous effort from just inside the box.

The blip is well and truly over:  it concerned a few Saints fans, as Southampton went nine games with only two wins and their impenetrable home record came to an end, first stumbling to Blackpool in a 2-2 draw and then losing to Bristol City in the last game of 2011. However, a timely return of form has steadied the ship and Southampton are back at the top of the table: even if it is only till Tuesday, when one of West Ham’s two games in hand present a chance for The Hammers to return to the top. Still, independent of the games in hand for other sides, Saints will remain in the automatic promotion places, where they have been all season.

With a reinforced squad, thanks to some astute January signings in the form of free transfer Tadanari Lee, a Japanese international from Sanfrecce Hiroshima, Spanish winger Iago Falque on loan from Tottenham and 10-goal Billy Sharp from Doncaster Rovers, and construction of the new Football Development & Support Centre at the Staplewood training ground underway, as the club continue to pride themselves on high quality graduates such as Alex Oxlade Chamberlain, Gareth Bale and Theo Walcott, the South Coast club looks destined for the Premier League.

MayCauseOffence’s Jordan Florit looks at the top five reasons why Southampton F.C. will be in the Premier League next season:

Nigel Adkins and Andy Crosby

By Brighton, Portsmouth and most recently West Ham fans, Nigel Adkins is detested. His ever positive demeanour and his extensive use of clichés and metaphors can frustrate opposition fans and is confused for pseudo-arrogance: however, the management duo is far from arrogant. For them, preparation is key and a painfully long process, but one well worth undergoing.

For all the importance of Nigel Adkins’ tactical nous, it would be worthless without Andy Crosby’s clever set plays and his ability on the training ground to get players “Saints fit,” and both have been invaluable in the set up at St. Mary’s: along with Dean Wilkins, Andy Crosby runs the fitness programme at Staplewood, and Adkins has commended it for the turnaround Rickie Lambert has experienced in his fitness and expects the same to happen for Billy Sharp. For the value of Crosby’s set plays, which Adkins describes as “massively important,” look no further than the weekend’s result in which two of Southampton’s four goals came from set plays.

Adam Lallana

Considered by TheSeventyTwo as the best player in the Championship, Adam Lallana’s form will be pivotal in determining whether Southampton F.C. finish in the automatic promotion places or not. Utilising one of his most used catchphrases, Nigel Adkins summed up Lallana’s influence on Saints post-match, describing him as a player who “oozes class, it’s as simple as that.”

Saints fans cheekily sing that he overshadows Barcelona’s Lionel Messi, but whilst Southampton fans do so with a tongue firmly placed in cheek, to say he is this generation’s Matthew Le Tissier to the Southampton faithful, is no understatement. His boisterous flair, his jinking turns and twists and his measured confidence is what makes Saints tick and his good health will be vital in Southampton’s 14-game run in until the end of the season.

At current, Lallana has five assists and is therefore Southampton’s fifth highest assister and yesterday’s volleyed goal, a scintillating finish, which saw the talented attacking midfielder finish the moved he started on the half-way line with a one-two with Tadanari Lee, was his eighth goal of the season.

Rickie Lambert

Southampton’s current #7, a shirt never really done justice at St. Mary’s since Matthew Le Tissier until now, has made the step up to the Championship effortlessly and for all that doubted whether he would, his name at the top of the scoring charts in England’s second tier is proof enough that he has done so. With sixteen goals to his name and twenty in all competitions, Rickie Lambert has been Southampton’s Grant Holt if Saints are set to “do a Norwich.”

However, that lazy comparison to Grant Holt, Lambert’s former striking partner from his days at Rochdale, is wide of the mark. Hopefully, Rickie Lambert, who turned thirty last week, will get his chance to shine in the Premier League: until then, he can only continue to prove himself as the best striker outside of the top flight, a sentiment expressed by the masses on Twitter in response to Crawley Town’s Steve Evans claiming Tyrone Barnett is the best striker in the Football League.

Goals all over the park

With an average of 1.81 goals scored per game, the best goal difference in the league by six at +26 and the most goals scored in the league with 58, Southampton F.C are rather flush with goals. Add to that impressive goal-scoring display of facts, top goal-scorer Rickie Lambert hasn’t scored in the league for four games now, yet Southampton have still scored seven picking up eight points, beating Burnley and Derby and drawing to then top-of-the table West Ham and unbeaten at home Birmingham.

Although £1.8m Billy Sharp is yet to score for Southampton (properly, anyway), his teammates have produced goals from all over the park: Saints have 14 different goal-scorers, two players in double figures (three including Sharp) and a further two with more than five. Southampton’s knack for goal-scoring is undoubtedly aided by the fact that seemingly any player can create a goal at Saints: out of the top fifteen assisters in the league, four are Southampton players, whilst overall the South Coast side have 12 assisters, five of which have at least five assists to their name. Frazer Richardson and Rickie Lambert both have nine assists, whilst Danny Fox’s weekend hat-trick of assists takes his total to eight.

Competition for places

We’ve got such a good squad here. The gaffer could change the whole team and we’ve still got a team that can play exactly how we always play.” Building a team in League One that would be ready for the Championship and doing the same this season in preparation from the Premier League has led to the scenario that Aaron Martin describes here. Undoubtedly, the financial backing the club has, has allowed Southampton to build such a competitive squad and as the last fourteen games approach, it is this competition that will give Southampton an edge in the race for promotion.

For Danny Fox, there is Dan Harding; for Billy Sharp there is David Connolly; for Morgan Schneiderlin there is Dean Hammond and for Guly Do Prado there is Steve de Ridder. For many teams, balancing such a strong squad with individual player happiness is a tough gig: however, as highlighted by Jason Puncheon, Nigel Adkins has developed a togetherness among the team and a shared attitude is at play: “Promotion is not just going to be about what 11 players can do but about what 19 or 20 can do. And wherever you look at this club, there are at least 19 or 20 players good enough to play. So no-one has a divine right to be in the team. You have to be there on merit.”

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Written by Jordan Florit for www.maycauseoffence.com/ For more articles visit my website or my Twitter @JordanFlorit





More transfers, taller players and a lot of Brazilians: a statistical look at European Football and how Barcelona buck the trend

29 01 2012

Transfers

Whilst most of the world’s industries continue to struggle in the aftermath of one recession, at the same time as riding through the current financial crisis which threatens to send the world into another one, European football ignores Katie Price’s – more accurately her corporate sponsor’s – concerns for the economy, her glee at “China’s latest GDP figures” and her solution to it all and continues to spend, spend, spend.

Amidst the Eurozone crisis, the volume of transfers occurring is up 16.6% from 2009 at an average of 10 transfers per club, across the 500 clubs surveyed by the CIES Football Observatory. Undoubtedly, the new money in Russian football is somewhat distorting of this figure, with five of the current top seven clubs in Russia’s top flight, the fortunate beneficiaries of the plutocrats of their country.

The recent spending of newly owned Anzhi Makhachkala, which has seen, most notably, Roberto Carlos and Samuel Eto’o join the side, has aided a perceived improvement of the Russian League: since 2009, there has been a 17% increase in the amount of active internationals plying their trade in the Russian Premier League from 11.6% to 28.6% and this isn’t down to an improvement of Russian youth players into fully fledged internationals, nor an increased development of club-trained players.

The increase in the quality of the league has come at the expense of youth development: using the same time frame as above – 2009-2011 – the percentage of club-trained players playing in the Russian top flight has fallen sharply from 20.2% to 12.2%. Whilst the Russian Premier League can claim to be the host of more international players than France’s Ligue 1, La Liga and Serie A, it has cost them a long term future of Russian product and will thus continue to rely on a succession of short-termism philosophies from owners willing to spend a fast buck.

The Demographic Study 2012, compiled by the CIES Football Observatory, which surveyed the 500 clubs in the top-flight of 33 European countries, showed that, on average, over 2011 each club made 10 transfers and 11.1 including promotions up the ranks and into the first team. However, proving that going with the flow doesn’t mean all shall go swimmingly, FC Barcelona, who won La Liga, the Spanish Super Cup, Champions League, UEFA Super Cup and the FIFA Club World Cup, made only two purchases in 2011: Alexis Sanchez and Cesc Fabregas.

Furthermore, Spain’s position as the highest of Europe’s top 5 leagues when it comes to club-trained players making up La Liga’s roster, 24.7%, is reinforced by Barcelona: in promoting Thiago Alcantara, Fontas and Dos Santos, Barcelona’s club-trained make up was 42.9%, 4.2% higher than England’s most club-trained friendly side, Arsenal, at 38.7%. Yet, Barcelona aren’t even the most prolific at player development in La Liga; Real Sociedad has a figure of 62.5%, Athletic Bilbao at 54.2% and Santander’s is at 44%. Meanwhile, much like the Premier League’s Wigan Athletic, Getafe does not have a single player that was trained at the club for three years between the ages of 15 and 21.

Height

In his Dispatches article for World Soccer, Brazil’s correspondent Tim Vickery, recalled that, “Brazilian coaches have argued over recent years that the physical evolution of the game demands six-foot midfielders and makes extended passing moves outdated.” Brazilian coaches are observant of the European game, it seems, and so they should be after Barcelona so comprehensively beat the best the country can offer.

For the second successive calendar year, player heights in the European top flights is at an average of 182cm, or, for an easy comparison to Ramalho and co.’s deduction, 5’11. Hats off to the coaches in Brazil. Germany, a current powerhouse of world football, has the tallest average height in European football at 6’ and their tallest side, Werder Bremen has an average height of 6’1. The tallest side in Europe is Volyn Lutsk at 6’2 and they finished 11th out of 16 in the 2010/11 season. It would be fair to say, they are Ukraine’s answer to Stoke. Talking of Stoke, they are the oldest average side in the Premier League and the 8th eldest in Europe at 29.08-years old.

However, yet again Barcelona are bucking the trend; along with having the most actively international side with 81% of their first team having represented their country in 2011, they are doing so with Europe’s smallest collective side, with the Barca boys coming in at an average height of 5’9. Their smallest player is expectantly Leo Messi at just 5’61/2 and their tallest is Gerard Pique at 6’4. The blueprint that Barcelona set is seemingly not just their tiki-taka football; as well as the fluid, attacking possession football they play, Barca are proving that small, technically gifted players can outplay the big boys, quite literally. Manchester City’s creative hub comes in the form of Silva, Aguero and Nasri, and before Carlos Tevez departed he was the spearhead to a diminutive attacking trio. Swansea’s height hasn’t come with a detrimental effect either; Britton and Allen dictate their midfield at 5’6 tall each, Wayne Routledge paces up and down the flank at 5’7 and Nathan Dyer bombs down the other 2 inches shorter, at 5’5.

Brazilians

In my last article, I explained and justified my adamant view that Neymar must immigrate to be a great and for Diego, it remains the “objective” and “the dream” for every Brazilian to “play in Europe, in the Champions League, at a big club.” The trend shows that is the considered view of many Brazilians with 528 playing in Europe; however, that figure is down 7% from 2010 and is explained, in part, by the new money in Brazil that can bring the old boys home and keep the new ones in. Yet, the money isn’t bringing success, “Brazilian football has never been so rich in money and poor in quality,” said Brazilian sportswriter Benjamin Back, in the wake of Santos’ humiliating defeat to FC Barcelona in the FIFA Club World Cup final, which may also explain the decrease: Brazil aren’t producing on the scale they were.

However, the ones in Europe excel and, understandably, 73% of the top 15 clubs in Europe – based on the percentage of active internationals a club has – have at least one Brazilian on their books. The only exceptions are Celtic – an anomaly on the list due to their vast amount of Home Nations players – West Brom, Manchester City and Zenit. Only 2 Brazilians were in the top 20 for the Ballon d’Or: Neymar and Dani Alves. With Neymar at Santos, this leaves only one Brazilian in the top 20 players in Europe, and he plays in a team that many consider the greatest ever: Pep Guardiola’s Barcelona. In the past, and as recently as 2005, 3 Brazilians were in the FIFPro World XI, never mind the Ballon d’Or shortlist. It suggests, and it is a view I hold, that the quality in Brazilian football is declining and for the players that do have the potential to be world class, their interests lie outside of their homeland.

Again, Barcelona buck the trend; in Adriano they have a useful back-up to Abidal and Alves and a player who popped up with two goals in the FIFA Club World Cup to finish joint top scorer with his teammate, Messi. In Dani Alves, they have the only Brazilian in Europe to make the top 20 for the Ballon d’Or, and a right back who has twice been in the FIFPro World XI. Their two other Brazilians, Henrique and Kerrison, 25 and 23, aren’t as effective and both are currently back in Brazil on loan.

Written by Jordan Florit for www.maycauseoffence.com/ For more articles visit my website or my Twitter @JordanFlorit