Mancini: Tottenham can win the league, Simpson: Don’t write off United, Ferguson: …………….

12 01 2012

If, on October 23rd 2011, you had a heavy blow to the head and all knowledge of Premier League campaigns were simultaneously erased from your memory, you may have stood aloof at your television/betting slip/friend in the pub and sanctimoniously proclaimed that this year the Barclay’s Premier League was a one-horse race. However, a one-horse race, by definition, is one in which only one of the competitors has a real chance of winning and, of course, “you can’t write off Manchester United,” says Newcastle defender Danny Simpson.

Yet, Danny Simpson’s comments came the morning after his side had torn apart a lacklustre Manchester United side at St. James’ Park, meaning that, having failed to pick up any points in their past two Premier League games, Tottenham are only three points behind them with a game in hand. Maybe it isn’t a one-horse race, not even one of those two-horse races you often see in La Liga nowadays, but maybe, this year, the Premier League is a three-horse race. Imagine that: three beautiful stallions, magnificently crowned with the majestic Fergie, devilishly good-looking Mancini and rather plump Harry, galloping powerfully towards their destiny, pulling away from the string of inferior horses playing host to their jockeys in the form of Arsene Wenger, Kenny Dalglish and Andre Villas-Boas.

Two dead horses

It might just be though, that the most experienced jockey of them all, Sir Alex Ferguson, is riding a dead horse: last week, Alan Pardew threatened to go gung-ho from the first whistle, “Looking at Manchester United’s recent games, teams that have sat back have got thumped,” said the Toon boss, “They’ve got such talent in their ranks, they’re going to cause you problems but we have a striker in form and a central midfield pairing that I think is as good as theirs,” he added, in the faintest of praise for a midfield partnership that is far outshining one that has been bolstered with the return of a 37-year old that retired over 6 months ago. It worked too; Newcastle United went out, flooded the wings with overlapping run after overlapping run and forced three goals out of a dismal Man. United side that couldn’t reply.

Having lost their first away game in 11, Sir Alex’s Manchester United had to travel to The Etihad to face Premier League leaders, and perfect home form holders, Manchester City. Instead of stoking a fire, much like pundits across the ITV suggested he was probably doing on a personal level with his players in the dressing room and Mancini eluded to by describing them as “angry,” he said absolutely nothing and thus gave out the most vocal of mind game messages according to professional psychologist Nicky Butt: “[bringing back Scholes] took all the attention off their home record and the bookmakers’ odds and switched all the attention to Paul Scholes and Manchester United. It was a great little bit of psychology.” For all the brilliance of Ferguson’s psychological mind games, it wasn’t quite as anatomically bright: a massive 4 minutes and 12 seconds after coming on for Nani, Paul Scholes set up Manchester City’s 2nd goal by providing James Milner with the ball on a plate to cross for Sergio Aguero. Nicky Butt obviously avoided mentioning this to try and leapfrog his former Manchester United team mate in a bid to become his new favourite ginger.


My eyebrows are better boss – Butt

However, winner of the best mind game of them all regarding the race at the top of the Premier League goes to Roberto Mancini for his comments before that fateful F.A Cup tie that made that second-half restoration and assault on Manchester United’s pride all the more prevalent. He did something Harry Redknapp hasn’t done directly all season: “I think in this moment, City, United and Tottenham can win this title.”

Now, despite winning, Manchester United will be licking their wounds after a “careless” second-half display, which saw the chance to really hurt Manchester City and meanwhile galvanise their own season, disappear into the heavy Mancunian mist – and with it came a Kolarov and Aguero goal. Tottenham have a January ahead of them that they will feel is favourable to their title hopes and like I said on Monday 12th December, this month will be the most vital stage of Spur’s season.

The Premier League has shown time and time again that the team who run away with it the quickest isn’t always the team that wins the race and no more valid an example can be found than Kevin Keegan and Newcastle United in the 1995/96 campaign, which saw them 12 points clear at the top in February, but eventually fall behind eventual winners Manchester United. However, the “we’ll score more than you,” philosophy that was on display at St. James’ Park under Keegan, isn’t quite the same mentality instilled at The Etihad under Mancini. Much more relevant to City’s current campaign is Chelsea’s title winning season of 2005/06. The first half of their season saw them pick up 45 points from 48 in a team based on strong foundations in defence, but their steady ship rocked and an eventual 18-point lead in March was cut to just seven late on in the season. Manchester City have gone in to 2012 as consistent as they have been all season, but with a lead of just 3 points rather than the lofty ones of the two above examples, a bit of looking of the shoulder behaviour wouldn’t be unwise.

Roberto Mancini is aware that Harry Redknapp’s Tottenham are not to be underestimated and his focus on them, equally as strong as his focus on a “dangerous” United, is prudent. Sir Alex Ferguson’s Manchester United does have the durability factor, but as they are showing this season, they are vulnerable and potentially the weakest Manchester United side the Scotsman has had to manage in the past decade. As much as they could stick it out and push City until the final day, they could drift away in a fashion never expected of a United side. If they do this, premature celebrations would be foolish: calmly and unassumingly waiting is Tottenham Hotspurs, technically creative and quietly threatening.

Written by Jordan Florit for www.maycauseoffence.com/ For more articles visit my website or my Twitter @JordanFlorit





Five things we learned about Manchester City this weekend

9 01 2012

In a game that looked full of life for a whole 686 seconds, there was a lot to be learned about a very impressive Manchester City side: Samir Nasri hasn’t been worth the £25m he cost The Citizens, despite his electric start to life at The Etihad; although they lost, City can consider Manchester United as the underdogs next time they visit; and, as Roberto Mancini said, “I think more than ever that we can go on and win the league.” The parts were greater than the whole in this Manchester derby in which it was the red half that recorded their 2nd derby victory in 3 this season. However, it was five finer things in the game that will determine whether Manchester City will go on to win the title, instead of their fiercest rivals.

The five things we learned about Manchester City this weekend……………………………………………

Manchester City will miss Yaya Toure

Starting with, and including, the 3-2 loss to Manchester United in the Third Round tie at Sunday lunchtime, Manchester City have to endure 8 games without their Ivorian central midfielder and his newly-returned brother, Kolo. The engine of Manchester City’s midfield, typified with his parting performance against Liverpool in which he ran from box to in 10 seconds culminating in winning a penalty, is now on international duty with his country competing for the African Cup of Nations. Mancini described his performance against Liverpool as “typical” stating that he, “wanted to leave on a good note,” and having scored, assisted and shielded the defence in a clean sheet performance he did exactly that. Not only has Yaya scored 6 in his last 13 Manchester City games from midfield, but he has laid on 6 assists in the PL so far this season and out of the 1800 minutes of Premier League football that Manchester City have played this season, Yaya has only missed 49, leaving him as the most played player for City. Filling the Toure role against United was De Jong, whose lack of bravery allowed Welbeck to score United’s second. Toure will miss both legs of the League Cup semi-final, as well as tough fixtures against Tottenham among 5 Premier League games that City play in his absence. Luckily for Mancini’s Europa League campaign, his return should coincide with their clashes with Porto.

2.      Manchester City will miss Vincent Kompany even more

When Mancini emphasised just how much Manchester City would miss Yaya during the African Cup of Nations, Alan Hansen stated on Match of the Day that, “they would miss Kompany even more,” if they were to lose him, labelling him as the best defender in the Premier League and a “fan’s favourite.” Now, having received a four-match ban for serious foul play, the strength of Hansen’s claim will be measured. “Kompany is of the highest class both as a player and a leader,” said the BBC’s football expert, “If they lost Kompany I am not so sure they could cover his absence so easily.” With Kolo Toure on international duty with his brother, the sentiment expressed by Hansen is heightened. Options for Manchester City at centre back are now limited to their only two natural centre-backs: Joleon Lescott and Stefan Savic. The latter has only played 190 minutes of Premier league football this season; however, his second half display against United on Sunday saw no goals conceded, despite having only ten men. As well as Wigan, Kompany is set to miss the three hardest games of City’s stretch of fixtures without Kolo and Yaya: both Carling Cup semi-final ties against Liverpool and Tottenham in the league. Almost fatefully, Manchester City will now feel the full force of Hansen’s hypothetical predicament.

3.   City are galvanised in adversity

At 3-0 down, with 10 men, in front of an understandably disappointed set of home fans, as well as a constant heavy drizzle of rain, Manchester City trounced in for, what must have been an emphatic team talk. Despite taking off their most creative and talented player – David Silva – as well as Adam Johnson, Manchester City came out for the second half with a sense of belief in attack about them. Setting up in a 5-3-1 formation, with Samir Nasri at the peak of a midfield three that saw Milner and De Jong carry the ineffective Frenchman, and Zabaleta and Kolarov acting as wing-backs, Mancini’s men came out and threatened to humiliate Manchester United for a second time this season, cutting the deficit to just one goal by the 65th minute. The Italian’s tactics and the philosophy that he instilled into the players for the second half were spot on and it was only a well saved free-kick and subsequent quick clearance that kept United’s shirts as the only thing red. Former Manchester City sides would’ve gone on to concede 6 or 7 like Roy Keane suggested they might at half-time: however, under Mancini, City are galvanised in adversity.

4.     Despite losing, City damaged their opposition

“The momentum was lost, but it’s been restored,” commented Clive Tyldesley as the second-half nearly turned into a horror show for Manchester United, as City got back on top. At half-time, Manchester United’s season was back on track after losses to Newcastle and Blackburn over Christmas: an F.A Cup win against the team that led the Premier League by three points was more significant than just a place in the hat for the Fourth Round. With 45 minutes to come against ten men and already three goals to the good, Manchester United had the opportunity to really hurt their opposition: “over the past 10-15 years, no team has been better at hurting teams than Manchester United,” said Andy Townsend. Within 20 minutes of that comment, United’s 3-goal lead had slipped to just one and there was still 25 minutes and injury time on the clock. In one half of football, Manchester United went from re-establishing themselves comprehensibly to displaying to the nation their vulnerability and weaknesses. Had the first half finished 2-0 to City and the second 3-0 to United, it would have been a much different story; however, despite losing, City damaged their opposition and the win hasn’t done United any good. Once more, the blue half of Manchester has shown up its rivals.

5.      City remain consistent into 2012

Up until the F.A Cup third round tie against Manchester United, City were averaging 2.71 goals per game at home, in all competitions. In the Premier League, City are scoring an average of 3.1 goals per game at The Etihad; in Europe, City averaged 1.7 goals a game at home and in the domestic cups, they had scored an average of 2 goals per game when playing in front of a home crowd. Against Manchester United, despite the one man deficit, City continued to deliver what was expected of them in terms of goals. If Manchester City can maintain their home consistency in the absence of Yaya & Kolo Toure, 6 points from their three away games: Wigan, Everton and Aston Villa should be enough to ensure the Ivorians return to a table-topping side. Their home games against them saw City collect 9 points, score 9 goals and only concede once – a consolation goal scored by Villa’s Warnock. Manchester City have remained constant into 2012.

Written by Jordan Florit for www.maycauseoffence.com/ 

For more articles visit my website or my Twitter @JordanFlorit